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予想5位広島の根拠と今後の課題その②

前回から引き続きます
広島カープ 根拠と今後の課題その②
5位 広島東洋カープ
下位に予想した理由
①慢性的にケガの多い主力と、外国人中心のチーム構成
②確実性の低い内野守備と4番エルドレッドの外野守備
③前評判の高い投手陣だが実は不安要素が多い
②についてはまず内野守備について考えたい
ファースト栗原(エルドレッド、岩本)
セカンド菊池(梵、小窪、松本、安部、木村)
ショート梵(菊池、小窪、安部、木村)
サード堂林
これが今シーズンの内野陣になると思われる
確かにファースト以外は伸びしろたっぷりのメンバーが揃っている
しかし東出の怪我と梵の膝の状態によっては菊池のポジションも変わると思われ不安定感も拭えない
ざっくり言うと好プレーもするがそれを上回るイージーミスが多いのが
ここ数年の広島内野陣の印象である
野村監督が掲げる強力投手陣を前面に出してペナントを戦うなら
内野の守備力向上は絶対不可欠である
去年巨人が5月から走り出したのは実は坂本の守備の安定度が大きかったと考えている
4月の坂本は大事な所でのイージーミスが多くチーム全体に不安感を与え接戦をものに出来ていなかったが
特に交流戦以降新加入の村田と強力な三遊間で投手に安心感を与えた印象が非常に強い
その恩恵が特に大きかったのが内海である
そして最大の問題点はレフトのエルドレッドだ
カープのオープン戦を見た印象では守備はラミレスと大差がない(少し動ける程度)
私なら栗原には申し訳ないがサードを守れないならエルドレッド、栗原のどちらかをファーストにし
外野は丸、天谷、ルイス、広瀬を使う選択をすると思う
これが横浜スタジアムが本拠地ならレフトにエルドレッドも解らないでもないが・・
(それでも私はその選択はしないと思う)
私はバットで1点取るよりもエラーや防げた記録にならないミスで1点取られることのほうが
その試合展開に与える影響とさらには味方投手陣に
その後に与えてる悪い影響は非常に大きいと考えている
長らく打線低迷でそれを打破すれば前健を中心とした投手陣で勝てると踏んでのことだろうが
上位を目指すなら打撃重視も大事だがカープの本拠地にあう野球を根気よく続ける事が近道になると思う
その為には勿論守備力向上とともにバントを含めたチームプレー
走力とバランスのとれた投手陣の整備が前提だ

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  232. 管理人 より:

    タケさん コメント有難うございます
    >ショート石川、サード筒香、レフトラミレスでは左方向がザルすぎて、投手への負担が大きすぎます。
    広いスタジアムでは渡辺や多村をうまく併用することによって解決させるべきであり、
    守備固めも含めた中畑の采配が勝負を分けると思います
    仰る通りDeNAも同じ問題があります
    そかしDeNAの場合はまずは最下位脱出が先という考え方ともとれるので
    そう考えると今回の補強と打撃重視のオーダーは理解できる点はあります
    詳しくはDeNAの予想根拠と分析でお話します

  233. 管理人 より:

    東京Cさん コメント有難うございます
    >天谷 廣瀬の今の段階での評価は、守備のレベルを引き合いに入れても 使えない判断だと思うよ
    隣の芝は青く見えるのか二人とも良い選手だと思うんですけどね
    広瀬は年々怪我が多いので守備範囲が劣化しているとは思いますが
    天谷は守備力、足を総合的に考えれば打率2割6分でも使うべき選手だと思います

  234. 管理人 より:

    omoさん コメント有難うございます
    >外野守備はルイスよりもエルドレッドの方がましです
    ルイスの守備に関してはもう少し様子を見たいと思っていたのですが・・・
    厳しいならちょっと考えさせられます
    それと堂林に関しては去年1年間実践でみっちり使ったので
    起用法に関しては結果次第という考慮も必要かもしれません

  235. タケ より:

    私はDeNAファンですが、同じ問題点がDeNAにも当てはまると思います。
    ショート石川、サード筒香、レフトラミレスでは左方向がザルすぎて、投手への負担が大きすぎます。
    広いスタジアムでは渡辺や多村をうまく併用することによって解決させるべきであり、
    守備固めも含めた中畑の采配が勝負を分けると思います。

  236. 東京C より:

    球場で考えて ルイス エルの配置が厳しいのは理解できる。だが 簡単に廣瀬や天谷と決めつけられてしまうのは いささか…。
    本音で言えば 謙二郎だってエルを外野手として使いたくはないと思う。
    でも 天谷 廣瀬の今の段階での評価は、守備のレベルを引き合いに入れても 使えない判断だと思うよ。
    この二人を外野手の軸に置いて もはや何年経たか。
    その結果は 昨年までの数字が物語ってしまっているからね。
    チームは 模索を続けつつ、ひとつの形にこだわってはいけないはずだしね。

  237. omo より:

    おっしゃる通りです。
    外野に外国人二人はピッチャーの負担が計り知れないものとなるでしょう。
    ただ、外野守備はルイスよりもエルドレッドの方がましです。ルイスは打球判断が致命的に悪くエルドレッドはレフトならそこそこいけるようです。元々イメージに反して足も速いですしね。
    堂林ですが、二年目の今年は実力でサードを奪って欲しいです。監督にはその考えはないようですが、同程度の守備力なら栗原を器用して欲しいです。エルドレッドをファーストで使えますしね。