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予想3位中日の根拠と今後の課題

今回は予想3位中日です
上位予想の中日とヤクルトに共通するのは試合巧者のベテランがチームを引っ張っている点です
なので選手の入れ替わりが起きても大きく成績を落さないのが特徴です
私はこの2チームと阪神がCSの2枠を争うと予想していますが
阪神が不安要素の方が大きいのでこの両チームを上位にしました
只、戦力的には巨人の上を狙えるとはどうしても思えない
今回は予想Aクラスチームの根拠と課題なので①②はチームとしての課題や不安
③は上位を狙えるだけの理由(強み、希望)を書いていきたいと思います
中日 根拠と今後の課題
3位 中日ドラゴンズ
理由
①エース吉見健在も中田以下の先発候補に一抹の不安
  リリーフは浅尾不在でも去年同様にやりくりできるのか?
②ブランコが抜けた打線は果たして機能するのか?
③堂上兄の覚醒に期待する
①について
エース吉見以下の先発候補がオープン戦で結果を出していない
中田などは実績もあるので心配していないが出てこなくては困る大野、伊藤については不安が残る
新外国人はカブレラの方は評判が高いようだが
このピッチャーを計算に入れなければ厳しい事が今の中日の苦しさを物語っている様な気がする
リリーフについては浅尾不在の去年と同じようにやりくり出来るのか?
山井と田島、武藤が無事なら左右豊富なメンバーでやりくり可能と見るが・・・
去年の田島のような新戦力があと一枚欲しいところだ
②について
ブランコが抜けて中日打線の破壊力という点では落ちたのは明白だが
元々繋ぎの野球で最小限の得点を重ねて僅差のゲームを拾うチームなので
周りが思うほど影響はないとも思える
だが新外国人次第では和田と無理に勝負しなくてもよくなるかもしれないので
森野が去年と同じ状態では話にならない
③について
私は2年ほど前からこの選手を注目していました
スイングスピードが素晴らしくバットコントロールも年々進歩している様に感じます
なので外野守備が若干課題有りなようなのでブランコが不在となった今シーズンは
ファーストとして新外国人次第では堂上兄を中軸として一年間我慢して使ったら
来年は恐ろしい事になると密かに考えています
(ただただ肩の怪我の影響が無いことを・・・・!)
ネガティブな話を多くしましたが私は中日は井端、荒木、和田、谷繁が無事なら何だかんだで
白星をしぶとく稼いでいくチームだと思います

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  378. 管理人 より:

    ほわいとさん コメント有難うございます
    >カブレラやブラッドリーは、例年なら「交流戦前後から投げて、最終的に5勝ぐらいすればOK」な選手の枠に入るはずなんですが…。
    同意です
    今までの中日は投手編成に関しては「状態の良い使える」選手を投げさせ
    課題のある(クイック等)投手や勝負の夏場に向けて熟成優先の投手は
    あえて使わなかったのが強さの秘訣だと思っていました
    そう考えると去年まで(少なくとも落合政権)では無かった事なので
    それだけ厳しいのかもしれないですね

  379. 管理人 より:

    ドアランさん コメント有難うございます
    >ただ、個人的に打線と中継ぎは浅尾やブランコに変わる活躍をする選手抜きでもそこまで問題ないと思ってるのですが、やっぱ甘く見過ぎですかね(汗)。
    ブランコ不在で小粒になった打線での大量得点は去年以上に望めないかもしれないので
    そうなると今まで以上に接戦をモノにする事が大事になると思います
    なので浅尾不在をカバーする投手が一枚欲しいところです
    でも何だかんだ言っても中日というチームはヤクルトも同様ですが
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  380. ほわいと より:

    中日ファンです。
    確かにOP戦で先発に不安を残しているのが心配ですね…
    カブレラやブラッドリーは、例年なら「交流戦前後から投げて、最終的に5勝ぐらいすればOK」な選手の枠に入るはずなんですが…。
    吉見一起以外に、中田賢一、大野雄大が一年ローテを守ってくれれば、あとは好調な投手を順につぎ込むパターンで最低でもAクラスは行けるんですけどね…
    野手に関しては、お兄ちゃんに関しては打撃なら既にレギュラークラスだと思ってます。あと弟も出て来てくれるとすごくうれしいんですがね…期待の若手は結構多いので、その辺にどれくらいチャンスが与えられるのか、楽しみにしながら、今シーズンを見ていきたいです。

  381. ドアラン より:

    中日ファンです。
    オープン戦の酷さや超激辛ということでかなり厳しい意見が来るかと思ったんですが、以外と評価されているようで安心しました。
    まあ巨人の上に行けるとはどうしても思わないと言うのは少しグサッてきましたが、今の中日にとっては間違いなく事実ですから仕方ないですね。
    先発については、ドラゴンズの先発陣は「一軍で通用する投手がたくさん控えてる」ってのが良いところと思ってたのですが、オープン戦を見てたら「一軍で通用する投手が吉見以外いない」感じだったので、不調にしても実力不足にしてもかなり厳しい状況かと。
    ただ、個人的に打線と中継ぎは浅尾やブランコに変わる活躍をする選手抜きでもそこまで問題ないと思ってるのですが、やっぱ甘く見過ぎですかね(汗)。
    堂上剛については、バッティング技術や打席での集中力は間違いなくレギュラーレベルかと思います。ただ守備に問題があり、すぐばてるため集中力が長く続かない選手のようなので、今まで代打の切り札として使われてきたようです。ファースト転向の話もあるので、苦手克服して是非レギュラーになってもらいたいです。
    最後の一文はきれいに的を射てると思います。逆にこの4人が抜けたら横浜以上の暗黒期を迎えそうで怖いです。早く跡継ぎとなる若手に出てきてもらわないと、巨人にドンドン差をつけられそう(泣)。