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妄想コラム セントラルリーグ 抑え投手の私的評価

今回は各セリーグ球団の抑え投手を私の基準で評価したい
★前提として以下の基準は
 私が抑え投手を評価する時に使っている目安に過ぎないので
 人によっては見方が変わり正当な評価とは思えないかもしれません
 どうか御理解下さい
まず私が考える『良い抑え投手』の基準は
① 145K以上の直球をコンスタントに投げる
② 空振りを取れる変化球を持っている
③ フォーム的に打者がタイミングを取りづらい
  又は高低や左右に独自の角度がある
  (例、リリースポイントが見辛い、高身長から投げ下ろす、サイドスロー等)
④ ①、②それぞれ高い確率でコーナーに投げ分け低めに制球する
  (但し直球のスピードが常時155K以上なら
  最低限の制球力があれば無視してよい)
⑤ 連投に耐えうるタフさ
4~5つ当てはまる投手は球史にその名を残すレベルだと思う
セリーグの前年抑え投手に私の主観で当てはめてみると
 巨人      西村   2個 ①⑤
 阪神      福原   1個 ①
 広島   ミコライオ   1個 ①
 中日      岩瀬   2個 ②③
DeNA    ソーサ   1個 ①
ヤクルト     石山   1個 ①
結論から言うと全ての抑え投手に物足りなさを感じる
本当の意味で相手打者をねじ伏せる抑え投手は居なかったと思う
西村は②④があと一息の所まで来ている
岩瀬は衰えを隠せないが何とか形にしている
福原も②④がもう一歩足りない
ミコライオは②がもう一歩
③については長身をアドバンテージにしているフォームではない
ソーサについては好不調が激しく連投になると
肘が更に下がって抜け気味のボールが多くなる
個人的には伸びシロという点ではヤクルトの石山に期待したい
去年はシーズン序盤の使い方がハッキリしていなかったので気の毒だった
肉体的、精神的にタフに見えるのでチームの成績次第では
セーブ王のダークホースとして挙げておく
阪神の補強については別の問題(スタンリッジ放出)はあるだろうが
抑えを補強するという視点は間違ってはいないと思う
呉昇恒については韓国での映像を見ると①③については問題無いだろう
②④についてはまだ解らないので日本での実戦を見て判断したい
⑤については近年故障歴があるので不安は否めない
敬称略
『超激辛NPBコラムツイッター』始めました
キャンプ、オープン戦、ペナントレース、ファーム情報等
ジャイアンツについての様々な情報を皆さんと共有したいと思います
是非一度お越しください

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  230. 管理人 より:

    とらおさん コメント有り難うございます
    当然の疑問だと思います
    あくまで分かりやすい目安として①をいれたんですが
    ③があれば勿論直球のスピードが140K程度でも
    押さえる可能性が高まります(上原がこのタイプです)
    ですがやはり多くの対戦を重ねるうちに『慣れ』がでてきます
    よって直球そのものだけで空振り又はファールで
    カウントを稼げる資質があれば
    『慣れ』がでてきても簡単に打ち返せないという考えです
    又②、③、④は①の能力が有ればより効果的とお考えください
    全ての項目の中から一つ欠けてるからといって
    抑えが不適格ということではありません
    一つ一つの項目が他の項目と密接にリンクしているからです
    あくまで全ての項目が揃ったら究極の抑え投手と考えています
    解りづらい文章で申し訳ないです
    今後とも宜しくお願いいたします

  231. とらお より:

    良い抑え投手の条件として
    ① 145K以上の直球をコンスタントに投げる
    という項目を入れた理由は何ですか?

  232. 管理人 より:

    ポチさん コメント有り難うございます
    ミコライオの場合は
    フォーム的に体の開きが早く打者の立場からすると
    比較的タイミングを合わせやすい投手だと思います
    なのであの豪速球もちでもストライク、ボールの見極めが
    比較的楽だと思います
    それと肘が下がり気味で体を前に折るフォームなので
    長身の良さを活かしているとは私には思えませんでした
    理解しづらい文章で申し訳ないです
    今後とも宜しくお願い致します

  233. ポチ より:

    何で身長2mを優に超えるミコライオが③に当てはまらないのでしょうか?

  234. 管理人 より:

    SSRさん コメント有り難うございます
    そんな意識は全くないんですけどね。。
    貴重な御意見として胸に留めておきます
    有り難うございました

  235. SSR より:

    >ミコライオの場合は
    フォーム的に体の開きが早く打者の立場からすると
    比較的タイミングを合わせやすい投手だと思います
    なのであの豪速球もちでもストライク、ボールの見極めが楽
    順位予想の時も思ったけど
    広島に対しては超ド級の辛口やね(笑)
    西村選手は、ほぼ4つを満たし
    ミコライオはギリ1つ
    1点取るのは楽な投手とか書いとったもんね
    まぁ、巨人ファンからすれば
    広島の選手なんて大したことなく見えるんかなぁ?
    おもしろいね(笑)

  236. 管理人 より:

    @さん コメント有難うございます
    不明瞭な基準で申し訳ありません
    岩瀬投手については
    ④についての②(変化球)は満たしていますが
    ④についての①(直球のスピード)は現在では満たしていません
    つまり素晴らしい制球力はあってもボールの勢いが足りないという意味です
    ⑤についてはやはり最近の岩瀬投手の投球を見ていると
    タイトな登板が続くと厳しくなってると私は考えています
    又、③については決して変則投手を指しているのではなく
    ボールの出処やリリースポイントの位置が
    分かりにくい投手である事を想定していますので御理解ください
    勿論@さんが仰る通り岩瀬投手は素晴らしい偉大な投手です
    全盛時なら全ての基準を満たすでしょう
    ですが私は現状の力量は記事の通りの見解となります
    御理解頂けたら幸いです
    御意見有難うございました
    下手な文章ですが今後とも宜しくお願いいたします