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直線抜け出すヤクルト! 【セリーグ優勝ライン 9月23日終了時点】

ヤクルト対広島、巨人対阪神の直接対決が2試合続き、この結果如何では優勝争いがガラッと一変する事も十分考えられた。
しかし、結果はヤクルトと巨人がそれぞれ連勝し、阪神と広島は優勝争いから大きく後退した。

【優勝ライン・9月23日終了時点】
—————————————————————————————————————
最終   1位ヤクルト    3位阪神    2位巨人    4位広島
勝数  71勝62敗2分 67勝66敗2分 70勝65敗1分 63勝67敗3分

77    6―2  .546                                      7―0  .542
76    5―3  .539                                      6―1  .535
75    4―4  .532    8―0  .532    5―2  .528
74    3―5  .525    7―1  .525    4―3  .5211
73    2―6  .518    6―2  .518    3―4  .514          10―0  .5214

残り  T1 G3 C2   S1 G1 C4   T1 S3 C1     T4 S2 G1
試合  B1 D1 計8    B1 D1 計8        B2 D0 計7   B1 D2 計10
—————————————————————————————————————-
同率で並んだ場合は?
①勝ち数の多い方が優勝
②当該チーム同士の対戦成績で勝ち越してるチームが優勝
③去年の成績上位チームが優勝

T対G   8勝16敗     残り1試合 ※G勝ち越し確定
T対S 13勝11敗     残り1試合 ※T勝ち越し確定
T対C   7勝12敗2分け    残り4試合 ※C勝ち越し確定
S対G 10勝11敗     残り3試合
S対C 13勝10敗     残り2試合 ※S勝ち越し確定
G対C    9勝15敗    残り1試合 ※C勝ち越し確定 
—————————————————————————————————————-

【優勝する為の条件】

★首位ヤクルト
状況は前回と変わっていない。
自力優勝の可能性が残っている巨人との残り3試合で、1勝すれば優勝に限りになく近づく。
74勝を優勝ラインにすると、仮に巨人との直接対決で全敗しても、それ以外のチームとの対戦は3勝2敗でOKになる。

★2位巨人
ヤクルトとの直接対決3試合を全て勝つ事が、優勝への前提条件になる事に変わりはない。
但し、前回と状況が違うのは上位がヤクルトだけになったという事。
これで巨人は「残り7試合で負けなければ逆転優勝」という解りやすい状況になり、選手は目標を立てやすくなった。
何とか今シーズンの最終戦となる直接対決で「勝てば優勝」という状況を作りたい。
尚、ヤクルトとの試合は全て東京ドームというのはGにとっては絶対有利になる。

★3位阪神
非常に苦しくなった。
巨人に連敗してしまった事で、仮にヤクルトが大失速しても、それは巨人の浮上を意味するので優秀の可能性が限りなく低い。

★4位広島
優勝の可能性は残されているが、もはや現実的な数字ではない。
何とか阪神との直接対決を大きく勝ち越して3位を狙いたい。

以上 敬称略

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  315. borderless より:

    おはようございます。相変わらず数字上ヤクルトが有利なのは違いないままですが、ヤクルトが苦手のドームで残りの直接対決を行うという事で数字程には有利とは言えないかも知れません。もっとも戦力が整ったヤクルト相手なので、過去の実績によるアドバンテージがそれ程ないのかも知れませんが。ただ今回の対阪神2連戦を観てももし甲子園でやっていればいくら調子を落とした阪神相手でも連勝出来たかは疑問だった事を考慮すればやはり本拠地でやるアドバンテージはあると思われます。直接対決以外の巨人・ヤクルトにとって、対戦相手そのものより先発投手が誰になるか次第かも知れません。今回ヤクルトが対広島に連勝出来たのはやはり前田・ジョンソン投手の登板がなかった事が大きかったでしょうし、巨人の連勝にしても藤浪投手の登板がその前のヤクルト戦になった事が大きかったと思われます。残り僅かな数試合ですが、調子のいいエース級に当たるか否かで非常に痛い1敗を喫するか確実に1勝をもぎ獲れるかになるでしょうね。阪神と広島は巨人・ヤクルトの直接対決の残り試合が多く、且つこの時期の12連戦が投手力頼みのチームにとっては過酷な日程故仰られる通り優勝からは脱落したと言っていいでしょうね。取り敢えずまず今日の対広島戦、幸い?にも前田・ジョンソン投手に当たらなかった事もあり確実に勝って欲しいものですね。

  316. 伊予之鈍才 より:

    豪華客船瀬戸内パイレーツ1世号を造りたい。伊予之鈍才です。このまま勝ち続けてほしいです!みんな頑張れ!

  317. マント より:

    中途半端に送信してしまった。。
    野球観戦夢中になれる魅力ある試合をこれからも見せてくれれば充分です。
    もちろん今のジャイアンツは阿部が作り上げたチームですが、、やっと世代交代始まったのかな。
    原監督もその時を待ち続けていたのかも知れません。

  318. マント より:

    阿部が打ってもどうせ単発で終わるんだろうなと、見ていてつまらない。。
    ところが大田、小林、岡本、橋本、寺内なんかが打つとジャイアンツ戦が楽しくなる。
    この差はなんなんだろう。
    顔は生き生きしてるし、言葉で表現するのは難しいですが、なんか野球観戦にむちゅ
    管理人様のブログは的確な理論に基づいていて、より深く野球観戦ができてます。
    でもそんな理論抜きにジャイアンツ戦を語れる試合を期待してずっと待ち続け、、そしてここ2試合でほんの少しですが楽しいジャイアンツ戦を観れた気がします!